Polymarket Trader

0x3532f3A39f8f89Ef19889351aC27Da6aA51f663A-1771361523644

0x3532f3a39f8f89ef19889351ac27da6aa51f663a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.17K
Realized PnL: $3.66K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.12K
Potential profit: $41.12K
User PnL: -$576.18

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$132.5

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $625.7

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$501.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $83.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $916.5
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.94
Potential profit: $284.94
User PnL: -$25.64

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.1
Potential profit: $180.1
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.15

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.16

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $71.1

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.01

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.2

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$36.86

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$88.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.14

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150.52

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$231.72

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$885.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 4.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 67% 224.17 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 44.6% 224.17 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 14% 409.2 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Yes 13.9% 180.1 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Yes 4.8% 3,000 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 34% 400 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 43.7% 2,271.5 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 47.5% 204 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 56% 200 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 44.6% 290.48 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 45.6% 216.39 shares