0x353f74Df60a4b67f821848efc1861346c78A1623-1779233291316

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.04
Potential profit: $300.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.75
Potential profit: $181.75
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.85
Potential profit: $142.85
User PnL: -$11.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.62
Potential profit: $83.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.98
Potential profit: $81.98
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.56
Potential profit: $65.56
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$6.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$8.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$6.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$8.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$8.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $26.25
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$6.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?