Polymarket Trader

0x35428f2c6F4Bf0b3854D5bC76987729910A0f682-1772794207235

0x35428f2c6f4bf0b3854d5bc76987729910a0f682

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.18
Realized PnL: $33.08
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $50.67
Potential payout: $52.26
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.3
Potential profit: $36.3
User PnL: -$30

No position

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $31.01
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.13
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

No position

Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Japanese" 10+ times during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 99% 10.1 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 96.8% 16.53 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 3% 30 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.7% 10.79 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 10.99 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.9% 1.05 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 94% 1.49 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 95% 1.05 shares