Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.95
- Potential profit
- $71.95
- User PnL
- -$14.39
Polymarket Trader
Calmmere
0x35556a29651126506899b0290d0c0537bbfb99d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.07
- Realized PnL
- $788.01
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $18.07
- Potential payout
- $19.54
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$34.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 19.54 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 79% 23.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 94% 23.4 shares
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 56% 1,821.43 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No 97.9% 20.24 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No 98.8% 20.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 20% 71.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 52% 15.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 97.1% 87.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown 87% 28.74 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?No 60% 102.18 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?No 61% 102.18 shares