Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $19.53
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Polymarket Trader
0x3556...4aca
0x3556fdf7a8cde4084da879b785374281aa214aca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.94
- Realized PnL
- $2.74
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $19.14
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $16.57
- Potential profit
- $14.83
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $11.92
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.18
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.85
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 4.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Y
Yes position
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.74
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 24.5% 8.16 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No 13.1% 91.88 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes 29% 19.14 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?No 7% 14.29 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 17.71 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 25 shares