Polymarket Trader

seoul

0x3559e089c3eb8aa1e3e9a0693de919eb485f4d76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.65K
Realized PnL: $300.24
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.83K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $264.71
Potential payout: $48.13K
Potential profit: $47.86K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$264.71

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $562.5
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $44.44K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $44.75K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.83K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $752.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $811.41
Potential payout: $33.12K
Potential profit: $32.31K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$396.83

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.87K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.9K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$75

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $15.66K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $43.4
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $8.64K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$763.64

Yes position

Megaquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.59K
Potential profit: $5.59K
User PnL: -$388.39

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.92K
User PnL: -$223.72

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$714

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$103.24

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$147.75

Yes position

Megaquake by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $92.81
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$555.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$83.7

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $836.9
Potential profit: $836.9
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $790.05
Potential profit: $750.15
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$78.61

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $605.14
Potential profit: $605.14
User PnL: -$108.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.31

No position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.77

Yes position

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.38

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.21

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.45

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$362.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 48,128.6 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 50,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 35,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 45,000 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 30,000 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 30,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 45,000 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 30,000 shares
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 5,555 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 51.3% 10 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 18% 570 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 51.5% 73.39 shares