Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $751.5
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$710.48
Polymarket Trader
Rol
0x355cc4870bda9789e72d9a3a6f495c716ffde6d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $37.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$129.02
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$168.56
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$98.29
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $933.45
- Potential profit
- $920.85
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$127.6
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $116.54
- Potential payout
- $932.29
- Potential profit
- $815.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$387.46
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $37.1
- Potential payout
- $883.42
- Potential profit
- $846.31
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $593.63
- Potential profit
- $590.36
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$96.73
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.96
- Potential profit
- $513.96
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.01
- Potential profit
- $263.01
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $137.3
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $37.3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $99.94
- Potential profit
- $98.69
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $19.44
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55K
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42K
No position
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.79
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.47
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.18
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.35
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.33
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.33
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.37
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $561.56
Temple position
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Temple
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.25
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.54
Akron position
Central Michigan vs. Akron
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.14
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 31.7% 203.4 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 0.3% 2,135.47 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.2% 693.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.6% 83.1 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 150.08 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20% 645.63 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 57.9% 345.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 12% 83.1 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 150.08 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 58.5% 171.07 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes 3.2% 313.96 shares