Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Polymarket Trader
haraya
0x355f3b6a0e5b430a21b5067403c2f4507dbc0df8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.34K
- Realized PnL
- $32.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $283.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$3.38K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $90.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $107.77
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$230
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$74.76
Yes position
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $944.62
- Potential profit
- $940.84
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$796.22
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.89
- Potential profit
- $910.89
- User PnL
- -$255
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705
- Potential profit
- $705
- User PnL
- -$84.6
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$578.5
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $574.21
- Potential profit
- $574.21
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $522.41
- Potential payout
- $522.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $508.47
- Potential payout
- $508.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $208.48
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $453.55
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $16.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $68.15
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.96
- Potential profit
- $410.96
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259
- Potential profit
- $259
- User PnL
- -$89.32
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $159.25
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$14.27
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $47.83
- Potential payout
- $195.23
- Potential profit
- $147.4
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$18.9
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $145.2
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$52.45
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $140.52
- Potential payout
- $153.58
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45K
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
No position
Will the next James Bond be British?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.3
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.89
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.06
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.81
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.68
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.69
Yes position
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.39
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.8
No position
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $599.94
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.43
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.58
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.63
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 59% 508.47 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 28% 910.89 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No 95.7% 522.41 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7.6% 524.16 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.3% 2,265.23 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes 8.5% 1,759.14 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?Yes 85.3% 153.58 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No 77.2% 69 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No 82% 65 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 85.2% 352.11 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 84.4% 592.51 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 32.3% 1,256.69 shares