No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $603.86
- Potential payout
- $908.05
- Potential profit
- $304.2
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $60.55
Polymarket Trader
0x3564...5cff
0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.02K
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $805.94
- Potential payout
- $850.59
- Potential profit
- $44.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $275.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $785.89
- Potential payout
- $816.08
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $321.42
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $381.92
- Potential payout
- $587.57
- Potential profit
- $205.65
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $43.51
Yes position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $265.21
- Potential payout
- $346.69
- Potential profit
- $81.47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
No position
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $173.61
- Potential payout
- $259.11
- Potential profit
- $85.51
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $31.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.8
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.36
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.81
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.3
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.98
Yes position
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.31
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.49
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.49
Yes position
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
Yes position
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.42
Yes position
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.41
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.29
Over 4.5 position
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Celtics position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 63% 93.7 shares
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 55.2% 112.15 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 49% 257.75 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 65% 118.74 shares
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 54.4% 146.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65.2% 229.89 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 61.6% 324.56 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 81.1% 184.9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 96.5% 232.82 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 96.2% 292.45 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 79% 212.47 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 68.9% 297.6 shares