Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $100.91
- Potential payout
- $112.75
- Potential profit
- $11.84
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Polymarket Trader
yaojiao
0x3564e910b3cb61a1761b4b567f379bad24b3b5c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.9
- Realized PnL
- $11.02
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.16
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?No 92.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.7% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?No 96.7% 5 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?No 95.1% 5 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No 83.2% 5 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?No 96.4% 100 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?No 96% 5 shares