Polymarket Trader

0x356E8B7B82831800c5738C18936E203E21Bd75b8-1772219777208

0x356e8b7b82831800c5738c18936e203e21bd75b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $562.72
Realized PnL: -$299.99
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $526.77
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $916.44
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$123.22

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$420

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $35.94
Potential payout: $552.98
Potential profit: $517.04
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$264.06

Yes position

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.06
Potential profit: $417.06
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.1
Potential profit: $283.1
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.25
Potential profit: $125.25
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.14

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$78.89

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$600

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 285.71 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 285.71 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 32.9% 304.32 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

No 80% 62.5 shares
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

No 79.7% 62.75 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 29% 196.07 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

No 96.6% 53.55 shares
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Yes 18.2% 61.83 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Yes 77% 19.23 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

No 81.9% 61.04 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares