Polymarket Trader

llell

0x358f99a4388bdd4ca493ac08e25e403d99346602

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.52
Realized PnL: $112.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $66.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $133.3
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $44.7

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $167
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $25.09
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$15.86

No position

Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will the announcers say "Bayern" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.6

No position

Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Solana reach $180 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $7.27
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Solana hit $300 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 50 shares
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 30% 20 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 23% 9.29 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 44% 20 shares
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 36% 50 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 24% 99.99 shares
Will G2 Esports win the EWC Valorant Tournament

No 81% 50 shares
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 22% 4.97 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 34% 20 shares