Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $42.66
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $269.84
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Polymarket Trader
MrDream852
0x35946e77a01ad963f1e81c98c3acacddfac508ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.83
- Realized PnL
- $417.34
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $25.29
- Potential payout
- $123.35
- Potential profit
- $98.07
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.06
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.09
- Potential profit
- $53.09
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $46.05
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.68
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 32.4% 123.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16?Yes 0.1% 43.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?Yes 0.2% 51.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?Yes 15.2% 69.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 36% 57.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?Yes 14.5% 69.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?Yes 20.7% 53.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16?Yes 23.2% 43.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?Yes 38.9% 51.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?Yes 98.9% 56.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?Yes 44.2% 56.54 shares