Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- User PnL
- -$139.99
Polymarket Trader
0x3594C0a1C4133392C1F492A2c3f7FAd6c5b747E8-1764179367107
0x3594c0a1c4133392c1f492a2c3f7fad6c5b747e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.89
- Realized PnL
- $249.43
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $522.73
- Potential profit
- $522.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.74
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $508.82
- Potential profit
- $506.53
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$117.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.78
- Potential profit
- $167.78
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $12.49
- Potential payout
- $124.94
- Potential profit
- $112.45
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.35
- Potential profit
- $55.35
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $27.12
- Potential profit
- $26.82
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.62
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.18
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Trump attend UFC 323?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.2
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 4.4% 228.12 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 3.9% 2,555.08 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 88.1% 17.85 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 18.1% 55.35 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.7% 367.23 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1.9% 520 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No 10% 192.8 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No 80% 160.63 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 35% 28.57 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.6% 1,692.24 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.8% 1,304.59 shares