Polymarket Trader

Goutou

@hmobw77277198

0x359b0b778cd25ff8a1edae309f082782970b8580

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $49.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.12
Potential profit: $128.12
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.84
Potential profit: $6.84
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Down position

Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 89% 127.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 114.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 99.9% 114.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 114.11 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 99.7% 111.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

No 99.9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

No 99.6% 110.44 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

No 99.9% 110.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 110.11 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?

No 99.9% 110.11 shares
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

No 98% 2.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

No 99.8% 110.22 shares