No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$244.22
Polymarket Trader
groovyzebra
0x35a9b142638820ee1b1511fdf75022dfcc7bc87a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $514.11
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.62
- Potential profit
- $371.62
- User PnL
- -$44.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $181
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $116.63
- Potential payout
- $143.99
- Potential profit
- $27.36
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $23.06
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $103.16
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$22.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $101.36
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $87.73
- Potential profit
- $86.63
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.95
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.7
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.7
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.3%
- Current value
- $25.32
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $14.68
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $28.74
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $27.13
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.12
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $19.74
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.05
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.42
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.18
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.97
No position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.67
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.61
No position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.84
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.91
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.89
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.51
No position
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" this week? (December 22 - 28)
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.08
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.96
No position
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 22 - 28)
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.08
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 40 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 20 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean OMalley 81% 61.73 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 9% 30 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Michael Chandler 22% 30 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 21% 23.81 shares
- UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Tatsuro Taira 23% 32.25 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 20% 25 shares
- UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Tatsuro Taira 62% 32.26 shares
- UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alexander Volkov 57% 35.09 shares
- UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)Sean Brady 43% 23.26 shares
- UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)King Green 77% 12.99 shares