0x35d7793F4B229D244B29A8e35815D70E707f026f-1745097305152

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.65K
Potential profit: $16.65K
User PnL: -$4.35K

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$30.09

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$494.57

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$55.63

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$54.33

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$110.94

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $813.74
Potential profit: $813.74
User PnL: -$29.23

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $213.64
Potential payout: $806.21
Potential profit: $592.56
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$21.35

Yes position

Will Agora win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $760.51
Potential profit: $760.51
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $743.24
Potential profit: $743.24
User PnL: -$28.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $591.72
Potential profit: $591.72
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.89
Potential profit: $458.89
User PnL: -$45.7

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.31
Potential profit: $405.31
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.42
Potential profit: $307.42
User PnL: -$57.45

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.1
Potential profit: $281.1
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.36
Potential profit: $279.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $243.38
Potential payout: $255.25
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.05
Potential profit: $250.05
User PnL: -$38.83

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.44
Potential profit: $244.44
User PnL: -$1

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $199
User PnL: -$75.62

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $141
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.64

No position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.22

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.94

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.09

Yes position

Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.02

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.44

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.7

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.08

Yes position

Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.97

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.54

No position

Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?