Matousek007

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.24
Potential profit: $747.24
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.65
Potential profit: $506.65
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.64
Potential profit: $351.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $299.08
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $292.68
Potential profit: $291.51
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $279.07
Potential profit: $273.91
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$6.84

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $208.58
Potential profit: $203.28
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.3
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $193.55
Potential profit: $193.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.71

Yes position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $146.81
Potential profit: $143.8
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $125.38
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $122.44
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.56
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $120.18
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.23

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $121.21
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $96.03
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $94.26
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.75

No position

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.93

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.91

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.03

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?