Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$880
Polymarket Trader
adlo
0x35e61dff56ccc1f0a98f895c4e49c787138b22a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $993.6
- Realized PnL
- -$157.64
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.7K
- Potential profit
- $16.7K
- User PnL
- -$854.82
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.32K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$37.49
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $6.47K
- Potential profit
- $6.47K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$247.62
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $635.16
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $477.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$74.71
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $126.63
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $974.52
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$29.33
Yes position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $929.17
- Potential profit
- $929.17
- User PnL
- -$136.26
Yes position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $896
- Potential profit
- $896
- User PnL
- -$24.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $462.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$64.47
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $178.57
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $78.57
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.74
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.28
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$13.44
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.38
Yes position
Wormhole airdrop in March?
Ends Mar 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Wormhole airdrop in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will "The Zone of Interest" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
Ends Mar 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$156.53
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$163.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 8,333.33 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 4.2% 4,841.1 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 4.1% 32 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 4.1% 403.47 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 2.5% 1,084.94 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes 2.4% 106.75 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 12% 500 shares
- First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH 35.1% 226.7 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.7% 89.3 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.3% 1,000 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 30% 344.82 shares