No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $146.9
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $130.21
Polymarket Trader
CitadelOfCope
0x35ef9cf6822f1c67961e9a5ea12afc4ea4491dd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.62K
- Realized PnL
- $552.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $180.99
- Potential payout
- $955.08
- Potential profit
- $774.09
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$91.1
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $332.08
- Potential payout
- $383.9
- Potential profit
- $51.83
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $22.88
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $257.79
- Potential payout
- $324.27
- Potential profit
- $66.47
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $57.79
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.82
- Potential profit
- $274.82
- User PnL
- -$106.94
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $199.49
- Potential payout
- $202.43
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $66.33
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $125.98
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$33.67
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.59
- Potential profit
- $180.59
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $146.03
- Potential payout
- $146.46
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $103.47
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $35.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $121.74
- Potential payout
- $124.73
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $90.2
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $106.38
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $83.62
- Potential payout
- $84.21
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.29
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- User PnL
- -$80.79
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.56
- Potential profit
- $51.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.86
- Potential profit
- $50.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $30.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.66
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.96
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.32
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.15
No position
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.58
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.7
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.54
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
No Cut October
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.8% 202.43 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 24.5% 800 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 28.5% 1,755.08 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 52% 192.31 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 120.85 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No 61.7% 162.17 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?No 99% 146.46 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 82% 243.9 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?No 93% 124.73 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No 95% 84.21 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No 61.7% 162.1 shares