Polymarket Trader

vectorreasoning

@sharmamadhav

0x35f149fc21a4c52aee4339b6cb01b840a92ca30f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.43K
Realized PnL: $2.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 75.9%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $435.3
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$81.78

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $18.77
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $985.23
Multiplier: 53.48x
User PnL: -$30.4

Under position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $499.73
Potential profit: $499.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$263.34

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $40.12
Potential payout: $300.04
Potential profit: $259.93
Multiplier: 7.48x
User PnL: -$33.78

Over position

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.99
Potential profit: $210.99
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.49
Potential profit: $153.49
User PnL: -$4.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.28
Potential profit: $137.28
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.13
Potential profit: $106.13
User PnL: -$43.29

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $93.63
Potential profit: $93.28
Multiplier: 270.27x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.4
Potential profit: $70.4
User PnL: -$7.06

No position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$21.6

No position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.97
Potential profit: $19.97
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $903.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.73

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $164.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.17

Under position

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.23

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.83

No position

Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24.6% 300 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 3.7% 26.67 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 3.8% 26.31 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 5% 20 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 4.8% 20.65 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 4.5% 52 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 83.5% 451.99 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 84.3% 552 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 4.8% 200 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 5.3% 400 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 3.7% 500.03 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 38.8% 100 shares