Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $96.83
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $979.02
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$10.76
Polymarket Trader
0x35f14AB200A22423B3CC6317AE2B269552CF9b46-1765574944722
0x35f14ab200a22423b3cc6317ae2b269552cf9b46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.17
- Realized PnL
- $247.24
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $34.34
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $645.66
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$48.86
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$32.3
No position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.14
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No 32.3% 20 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 190.19 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 9% 300 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 15% 300 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 10% 1,005.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 41% 200 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 32.8% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 14% 80 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes 5% 80 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No 48% 30 shares
- Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No 26.9% 20 shares