Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
BobAxelrod
0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $463.82
- Realized PnL
- $9.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $95.27
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$16.17
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $20.02
- Potential payout
- $449.99
- Potential profit
- $429.96
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$27.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $366
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $23.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $376.8
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $18.02
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $331.97
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $266.24
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$14.17
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $154.8
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $85.2
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174.8
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.33
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.63
- Multiplier
- 4.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Blast airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiลก be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Puffer airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran Nuke by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 200 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 3,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 240 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 13.3% 30.3 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9.7% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 70 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 58% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?No 3.1% 14.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares