Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.44
- Potential profit
- $25.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
5herge3
0x35fce08408bf5c7352d5106410075e6edadb526c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.83
- Realized PnL
- $40.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.69
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.33
- Potential payout
- $13.35
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84
- Potential profit
- $9.84
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.57
- Potential profit
- $8.57
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - September 1, 11AM ET
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
Up position
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Carnival Corporation (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Yoon out of custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 93.3% 15.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 97.4% 13.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 91.6% 10.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 86% 13.95 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 93% 11.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 97% 10.31 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?No 97% 11.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 11.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 12.63 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 90% 14.44 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes 97% 10.31 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 84% 8.33 shares