Polymarket Trader

ThePotatoTurtle

0x360784ed50abc73bbf13fcb652fca5308d19c08b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $183.96
Realized PnL: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$10

FlyQuest position

MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuest

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $536
User PnL: -$146.02

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.42
Potential profit: $379.42
User PnL: -$104.96

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $20.65
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $239.09
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $228.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$32.2

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $201.11
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.87
Potential profit: $211.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.08
Potential profit: $141.08
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.48
Potential profit: $102.48
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $75.71
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $20.46
Potential payout: $90.92
Potential profit: $70.46
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $70.45
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $20.43
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $66.52
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $19.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?

Ends Apr 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.28

No position

Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.17

Yes position

Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.83

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.62

Yes position

Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?

Ends Apr 30, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.61

Democratic position

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.47

Yes position

Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022?

Ends Jan 27, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.87

Lower position

Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.58

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?

Ends May 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1670897.24x
User PnL: $42.45

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.31

Yes position

Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.63

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Democratic position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.51

Yes position

Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.52

Yes position

Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Yes position

Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

Ends May 3, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.29

No position

Will Trump say "Reserve" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.97

Yes position

Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.36

No position

Will Trump say "Vote" 15 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.53

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.54

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.29

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Over 0.9% 111.67 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Over 17% 29.41 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5

Over 2.4% 102.48 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 18% 55 shares
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 19% 40 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 22% 90.9 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 34% 30.45 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 34% 29.99 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 20% 100 shares