Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $92.37
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Polymarket Trader
0x3613...59c6
0x3613cfe3da4735c6ac88427011de3349f68b59c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $347.68
- Realized PnL
- -$11.97
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $77.74
- Potential payout
- $83.63
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $19.71
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $60.93
- Potential payout
- $72.15
- Potential profit
- $11.22
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.7%
- Current value
- $35.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $14.67
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $21.84
- Potential payout
- $35.8
- Potential profit
- $13.96
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.75
- Potential profit
- $35.75
- User PnL
- -$25.13
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $23.02
- Potential payout
- $32.88
- Potential profit
- $9.86
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Y
Yes position
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $24.81
- Potential profit
- $13.27
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.8%
- Current value
- $11.58
- Potential payout
- $15.9
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $13.17
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.13
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $12.55
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.49
Rune Eaters position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Los Angeles Sparks position
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will SP La Fiorita win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk end in a draw?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $4.45
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $2.61
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will OFK Petrovac win on 2026-07-16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Leticia Romanova position
ITF Nottingham: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Leticia Romanova
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Lorenzo Angelini position
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Ekaterina Yashina position
Athens Open, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Ekaterina Yashina
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Carla Markus position
ITF Darmstadt: Tena Lukas vs Carla Markus
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Voca position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Patrick Zahraj position
Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Hungary position
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Denmark vs Hungary
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Hendrik Jebens position
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Hendrik Jebens
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Elisha Ellison position
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
The Huns Esports position
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Tegan Bush position
ITF Nottingham: Alicia Dudeney vs Tegan Bush
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Toronto Tempo position
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.29
N
No position
Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$10.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo 31% 6 shares