Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $348
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $11.65K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $84
Polymarket Trader
bigstarlee
0x361d4c9f37e27ab001754847f08c9c64591351f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $428.59
- Realized PnL
- $725.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.1%
- Current value
- $50.19
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $111.1
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $22.4
- Potential payout
- $53.91
- Potential profit
- $31.51
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $40.49
- Potential profit
- $32.49
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.61
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.44
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.54
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.58
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.64
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.29
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.78
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $12.34
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes 31% 161.29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.2% 806.81 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 47% 117.64 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 51% 117.65 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 38% 131.58 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 56% 89.29 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 41% 121.95 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.4% 9,011.43 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.5% 21,455.77 shares