Polymarket Trader

jaa234

0x36349760cfc1e045d1c290f542a2771cff08f43d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.67
Realized PnL: $182.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $156.88
Potential profit: $144.01
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$37.14

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.2
Potential profit: $33.2
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $14.36
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $6.91
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.21
Potential profit: $8.21
User PnL: -$4.93

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $4.94
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28
Potential profit: $4.28
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 81% 4.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Up 53% 13.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 63% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Down 45% 22.22 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 84% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 51% 29.41 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 13% 115.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 48% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 67.6% 20.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 54% 14.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 70% 13.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 54% 9.26 shares