Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $29.54
- Potential payout
- $310.98
- Potential profit
- $281.44
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.79
Polymarket Trader
Tryinthings
0x3639ede6959eb84a3c4781818427b090b9507667
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.22
- Realized PnL
- $159.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $11.62
- Potential payout
- $205.74
- Potential profit
- $194.12
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $29.69
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $170.24
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $137.73
- Potential profit
- $126.64
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $125.12
- Potential profit
- $123.5
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$37.2
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $16.04
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.33
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Over position
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Over position
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Over position
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.3% 0.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.6% 19.83 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 97.7% 0.54 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 96% 0.57 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.5% 63.52 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 81.12 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 24.27 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 100.35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 7.35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20% 8.84 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 28% 53.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 32.25 shares