Polymarket Trader

0x363f7e9BB1db9161A140F8E260d522cF32Bee411-1771614893788

0x363f7e9bb1db9161a140f8e260d522cf32bee411

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $74.68
Realized PnL: $54.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.71
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $82.96
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $85.68
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $84.29
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $75.93
Potential profit: $68.11
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $71.56
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $58.33
Potential profit: $54.39
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $40.06
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $42.38
Potential profit: $37.59
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.46
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $34.84
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $35.68
Potential profit: $30.15
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $27.78
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $18.06
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.27
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 5.6% 89.29 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 8% 71.43 shares
US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Yes 10% 45.45 shares
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 5.8% 25 shares
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 4.4% 92.53 shares
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Yes 12.4% 40.32 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 12% 15.7 shares
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Yes 5.5% 90.91 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No 10% 50 shares