No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $155.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $316.4
Polymarket Trader
nooneX
0x364231830d9f480dbbd9d8c842b62f0fb561a80d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.24K
- Realized PnL
- $3.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $760.39
- Potential payout
- $822.04
- Potential profit
- $61.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.74
- Potential profit
- $660.74
- User PnL
- -$651.87
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $564.66
- Potential payout
- $601.02
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511.44
- Potential profit
- $511.44
- User PnL
- -$471.15
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $332.64
- Potential payout
- $401.01
- Potential profit
- $68.37
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $351
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $365.97
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.3
- Potential profit
- $316.3
- User PnL
- -$73.96
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $188.27
- Potential payout
- $221.1
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $135.89
- Potential payout
- $201.32
- Potential profit
- $65.43
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $185.88
- Potential payout
- $200.41
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.33
- Potential profit
- $189.33
- User PnL
- -$39.76
No position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $116.94
- Potential payout
- $120.93
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.06
- Potential profit
- $30.06
- User PnL
- -$23.04
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.45
- Potential profit
- $20.45
- User PnL
- -$5.11
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.42
- Potential profit
- $20.42
- User PnL
- -$5.92
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- -$6.53
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.66
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.19
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.84
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.58
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.44
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.96
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.86
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.8
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.85
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.4
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.04
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.65
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.86
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.38
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.21
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.49
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.88
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $34.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 68% 40 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?No 86.2% 200 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 90.9% 73.22 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 90% 80.31 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 90.8% 15.9 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 68% 16.46 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 90% 19.68 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.6% 57.93 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.8% 142.06 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 91% 20.94 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.1% 200.41 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.3% 601.02 shares