Polymarket Trader

Mmgp

0x3644050e43f4350fa0af361e88bd0cbed3abdd79

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.61K
Realized PnL: $20.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $859.61
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $97.62

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $839.15
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$60.85

Yes position

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $9.48
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.08

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.53

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 97% 1,307.44 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 17% 8,927 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 30% 1,000 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 29% 5,065 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 28% 104 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 28% 1,027.39 shares
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 97.4% 10 shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 27.4% 3,125.84 shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 39.1% 2,299.04 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 61.2% 2,942.04 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 77% 906.66 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

No 92.1% 868.39 shares