Polymarket Trader

archi54570

0x36469210b7ced93ec7d7fd635bf66df0b898ba5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.85
Realized PnL: $2.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$8.15

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $86.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$97.29

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$11.89

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Trump say "Pulitzer" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $982.5
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.87
Potential profit: $800.87
User PnL: -$63.77

No position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $736.41
Potential profit: $736.41
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.1
Potential profit: $724.1
User PnL: -$19.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.41
Potential profit: $606.41
User PnL: -$20.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.84
Potential profit: $577.84
User PnL: -$33.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.99
Potential profit: $513.99
User PnL: -$65.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $475.25
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.75
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $217.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.14

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 24?

Yes 0.1% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Yes 34% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Yes 9% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?

Yes 20% 0.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Yes 9% 31.33 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 20 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Yes 17% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Yes 33% 10 shares