Polymarket Trader

Polly67

0x364f1d342b6d895196ab7b6d7399871a647a1515

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.92K
Realized PnL: $2.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.46K
Potential profit: $32.46K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $18.95K
Potential profit: $17.15K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.96K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.52K
Potential profit: $14.52K
User PnL: -$887.99

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $13.51K
Potential profit: $12.49K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$447.77

No position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.41K
Potential profit: $11.41K
User PnL: -$5.59K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $11.4K
Potential profit: $11.36K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$782.2

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $10.25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.69K
Potential profit: $8.69K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $385.09

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.16K
Potential profit: $6.16K
User PnL: -$409.99

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$320.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$2.29K

Yes position

Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$208.14

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$412

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.09K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$122.09

Yes position

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$158.08

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $585.45
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $773.87

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$22.12

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$46.8

Yes position

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $91.79
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$18.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103

Yes position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 79.39 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 7% 7,142.86 shares
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?

Yes 20.2% 495.29 shares
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

Yes 21.5% 1,164.4 shares
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 22.8% 424.56 shares
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 64.6% 3,094.21 shares
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 6.1% 14,520.11 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 14% 323.5 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 1% 10,252.09 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 6.2% 32,455.47 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 13% 3,169.23 shares