No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $254.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $236.4
Polymarket Trader
NotSAFEKelly
0x36507c60823603f7fffeffaf15dbd5ed6d61d17c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $272.83
- Realized PnL
- $379.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $132.07
- Potential profit
- $127.45
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$21.79
No position
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.18
- Potential profit
- $128.18
- User PnL
- -$98.7
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $86.72
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
N
No position
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 3.95x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Y
Yes position
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.81
N
No position
Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $45.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 81% 91.72 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 82% 10.25 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 95% 112 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 96.5% 35 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 97.4% 7.91 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 96.6% 26.94 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 97.4% 8.59 shares
- Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37% 6 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No 84% 52.36 shares
- Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4% 124 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 46% 71.67 shares
- Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 52% 6.16 shares