No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
dex55
0x369cb003e5c381580c9f15dfbc473ac2033beab1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.04
- Realized PnL
- $662.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $21.29
- Potential profit
- $16.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $19.89
- Potential profit
- $12.63
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $12.12
- Potential payout
- $19.55
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $13.47
- Potential payout
- $18.85
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $18.16
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $17.76
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $8.53
- Potential payout
- $17.59
- Potential profit
- $9.06
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $15.82
- Potential profit
- $10.84
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $15.45
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
N
No position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Y
Yes position
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.75
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $14.96
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $14.79
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $14.47
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $14.45
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Y
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $14.12
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.14
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $17.55
Y
Yes position
Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
N
No position
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 5 shares
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 54% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 5 shares