Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $147.42
- Potential payout
- $954.16
- Potential profit
- $806.74
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Polymarket Trader
Gastapan
0x36a0ccbc3d52a622bdddf3ac800aeb2f04134e67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $222.44
- Realized PnL
- $153.08
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.65
- Potential profit
- $130.65
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $51.26
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $32.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.31
- Potential profit
- $32.31
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.76
- Potential payout
- $23.76
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.4
No position
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
North Korea missile test by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.72
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.47
No position
Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.7% 954.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 6% 176.25 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 51% 176.25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No 88.6% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 58% 43.1 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 69% 17.85 shares
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?Yes 55% 36.36 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?No 90% 55.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 98.5% 40 shares
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?Yes 79.2% 44.6 shares
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 62% 10 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No 91.4% 50 shares