Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$31.04
Polymarket Trader
Olivias45
0x36b9edc3254a070cd865d350dbd250be7d1e67fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.91
- Realized PnL
- $8.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.99
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$22.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$22.31
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Nets
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Trump say "Gay for Palestine" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Wizards
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 42°F or higher on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 97.9% 20 shares
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No 99.9% 23 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 99.9% 35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 99.1% 15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 97% 15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 99.8% 55.11 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes 97% 32 shares
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga 99.9% 30 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports 99% 28.99 shares
- Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?No 99.7% 22.96 shares
- Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?No 97% 22.97 shares