Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$787.39
Polymarket Trader
mw97
0x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $15.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $237.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $211.05
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.34
Yes position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$107.45
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $499.22
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $109.64
- Potential payout
- $300.38
- Potential profit
- $190.74
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.82
- Potential payout
- $13.82
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.49
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.61
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.06
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.78
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.99
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505
Yes position
Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $424.99
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.05
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $400.2
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.63
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $378.07
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.15
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.26
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.19
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.27
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 31% 179.54 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 37% 220.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 71% 51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 26% 141.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 25% 135.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 20% 42.24 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes 30.7% 820 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes 0.1% 999.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes 41.3% 10 shares