Polymarket Trader

0x36e59410E793907405F341b07aCcFF102D87FD74-1767929811693

0x36e59410e793907405f341b07accff102d87fd74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $155.58
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $3.72K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$31.28

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$295.9

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $14.53
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$15.47

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $131.23
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$133.77

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $59.03
Potential payout: $266.51
Potential profit: $207.48
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$16.51

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $230.04
Potential profit: $229.24
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$23.76

No position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $115.3
Potential profit: $105.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $72.28
Potential profit: $71.81
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$11.47

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $37.2
Potential profit: $36.84
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $27.35
Potential profit: $23.8
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$4.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.74

Renato Moicano position

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $14.37

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.24

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Alice Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Brendson Ribeiro position

UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Guilherme Pat position

UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 51% 145.1 shares
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 937.5 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 53% 39.77 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 78% 27.63 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 79% 27.63 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 21% 33.33 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 55% 29.91 shares
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4.6% 326.09 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 27.7% 90.25 shares
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 88% 66.18 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.1% 88.92 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 5.7% 23.8 shares