No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $9.58K
- Potential payout
- $10.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $207.9
Polymarket Trader
pol76
0x36e7e560c4d4cf32926906d939a18cf91f8a0b6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.9K
- Realized PnL
- $51.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$647.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$750.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $609.4
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $46.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$535.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$393.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $556.7
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $524.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$59.63
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $61.71
- Potential payout
- $914.16
- Potential profit
- $852.45
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$173.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.02
- Potential profit
- $403.02
- User PnL
- -$148.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.91
- Potential profit
- $396.91
- User PnL
- -$255.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $136.13
- Potential payout
- $225.01
- Potential profit
- $88.88
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $149
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.82
- Potential profit
- $172.82
- User PnL
- -$136.47
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $80.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $28.89
- Potential payout
- $36.81
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Yoon in jail before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.41
Yes position
Yoon arrested before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.98
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.83
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.83
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.55
Yes position
Yoon arrested by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 66% 99.99 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?No 71% 500 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?No 84% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 246.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 57% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 57% 105.82 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?No 93% 2,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 81% 100 shares