Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $21.18
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Polymarket Trader
cecilio2
0x36e8eac879cb86b7e881f67944b988997320db37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.27
- Realized PnL
- $956.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $18.23
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.42
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $6.84
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.74
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.04
Pereira position
Ankalaev vs. Pereira
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.92
Giants position
Eagles vs. Giants
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.68
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Zahabi position
Vera vs. Zahabi
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Bills
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.02
Jaguars position
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.16
No position
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.62
Texans position
Texans vs. Ravens
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Kings position
Lakers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
Yellow Submarine position
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Timberwolves position
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.69
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.91
Devils position
Devils vs. Stars
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.55
49ers position
49ers vs. Rams
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.19
Yellow Submarine position
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.07
South America Rejects position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
RED Canids Academy position
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy - Map 2 Winner
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.42
G2 Esports position
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.94
Lightning position
Predators vs. Lightning
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84
L1ga Team position
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.12
Tigers position
Mariners vs. Tigers
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.6% 5.07 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 65% 7.57 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 41% 11.9 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 43% 11.11 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 58% 8.47 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 39.2% 12.2 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 6% 20 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 71% 6.84 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 26% 18.51 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 92% 7.68 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 20% 21.18 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 65% 6.75 shares