Yes position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $74.24
- Potential payout
- $707
- Potential profit
- $632.77
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$17.67
Polymarket Trader
DavidAlvarado8816
@AntonettaB11899
0x370245623c708e96cb47fc17bafe32faa442829d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $36.74
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.16
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.75
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.92
No position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $94.96
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.18
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.27
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.21
Yes position
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Yes position
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.93
Yes position
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $33.2
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.37
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.83
Yes position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.39
No position
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.89
Yes position
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $16.4
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Yes position
Will Pavlov win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 13% 37 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 13% 37 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 13% 40 shares
- Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?No 87% 116 shares
- Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?No 87% 443 shares
- Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?No 87% 559 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?No 74% 367 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 22% 134 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 22% 179 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 22% 663 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?No 63% 367 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 51% 976 shares