Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $22.98
- Potential payout
- $649.07
- Potential profit
- $626.09
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$17.02
Polymarket Trader
0x3706D7A7158225Ae58225ddA92Bfe179Ae855805-1777596669181
0x3706d7a7158225ae58225dda92bfe179ae855805
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.46
- Realized PnL
- $90.06
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $12.96
- Potential payout
- $63.24
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.62
- Potential profit
- $36.62
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $20.17
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.42
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 45% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 35% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 97.2% 71.42 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 46.3% 21.62 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 1.7% 62.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 35% 71.43 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.3% 63.24 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 99.9% 66.66 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 18% 66.67 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.2% 649.07 shares