No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $82.43
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $22.58
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $23.62
Polymarket Trader
johnmagnier
0x37195813defaa198f9df7751130e4e00ebf6bd84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.18
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.93
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.6
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.1
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.14
Yes position
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.75
No position
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.56
No position
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.92
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.52
No position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $45.36
No position
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.67
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.55
No position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.27
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.36
Yes position
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $25.74
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- $21.85
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.88
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 70% 742 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 30% 566 shares
- Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 46% 266 shares
- Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 46% 437 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No 40% 7 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 34% 495 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 34% 227 shares
- Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 49% 703 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 35% 722 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No 41% 207 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No 39% 30 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No 38% 36 shares