Polymarket Trader

FreezusFhrist

0x37222b4364827fe95d3e7a7532a2195585531f0a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $575.37
Realized PnL: $12.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $244.92
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$63.8

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$285.8

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.29
Potential profit: $502.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.35
Potential profit: $444.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$25

No position

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $139.99
Potential payout: $301.05
Potential profit: $161.06
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $109.99

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $190.46
Potential payout: $259.13
Potential profit: $68.67
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$9.54

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.24
Potential profit: $137.24
User PnL: -$50

Jared Gordon position

UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.98
Potential profit: $135.98
User PnL: -$99.26

No position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.36
Potential profit: $114.36
User PnL: -$28.59

Joel Álvarez position

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.44
Potential profit: $98.44
User PnL: -$37.41

No position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $10.4
User PnL: -$1.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Kings position

Spread: Warriors (-15.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.95

No position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.17

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.69

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.23

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.04

Joshua position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.32

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.9

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.88

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.88

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.64

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $112

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.76

Yes position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.62

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 27?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.6

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.75

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.39

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.36

No position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

No 88.1% 226.97 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 77.2% 259.13 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 36.4% 137.24 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 99% 200 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 80% 50 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 61% 399.98 shares
Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Cavaliers 49% 2,035.32 shares
Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Cavaliers 98.3% 2,035.33 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 68% 147.06 shares
O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over 93% 24.56 shares
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)

King Green 76% 131 shares
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Joel Álvarez 38% 98.44 shares