No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Polymarket Trader
DanesWorld
0x37242264d11ede95c86eccd4226999905b62f690
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Eric Adams a Republican before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Simion position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 35 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 78% 40 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 39 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 72% 47 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 34 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 43 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 1.9% 25 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 31% 61 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.5% 32 shares