Polymarket Trader

BearinSpring

0x37317cfb38983b55f0632bf2e0409882356efb76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.38K
Realized PnL: $78.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.67K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $333
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $183.01

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $854.85

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $915.13
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $494.62

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $650
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$231.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$216.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$208

No position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$820

No position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $751.98
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $91

No position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.46
Potential profit: $661.46
User PnL: -$525.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.8
Potential profit: $620.8
User PnL: -$44.46

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $535.15
Potential payout: $615.12
Potential profit: $79.97
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $55.36

Yes position

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

No position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$384.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$36

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$267.6

No position

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$172

No position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$196.2

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$142

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$162

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35K

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1K

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.32

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.51

Yes position

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 75% 70 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 95% 700 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 54.15 shares
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 94% 1,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

No 91.8% 107.44 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

No 87.1% 312.82 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 600 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 22% 1,000 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 30% 596.66 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 43% 16 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 500 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 93.6% 100 shares