Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $52K
- Potential profit
- $49.95K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$26
Polymarket Trader
mapotofuman
@mapo_tofu_man
0x3749ae5313a1c47306cae43b5d30988296907ad0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.45K
- Realized PnL
- $40.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.12K
- User PnL
- -$7.4K
Yes position
Will k线教主 win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will Gamblious win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$5.34
Yes position
Will philo win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Canadiens position
Stars vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$908.03
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$522.89
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$539.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will yolo win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$99.9
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will Cooker.hl win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $926.78
- Potential profit
- $926.78
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will ihzan win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $894.63
- Potential profit
- $894.63
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $347.42
- Potential payout
- $747.14
- Potential profit
- $399.72
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$94.38
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $51.45
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $648.55
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $597.53
- Potential profit
- $597.53
- User PnL
- -$300
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.23
- Potential profit
- $526.23
- User PnL
- -$227.4
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.99
- Potential profit
- $449.99
- User PnL
- -$315
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78K
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.01
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.4
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.86
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.9
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.87
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.81
Minaur position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.8
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.49
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.07
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 7% 40 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 56.5% 92.96 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.2% 700 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 357.14 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 80.6% 275.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62% 390 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 47% 79.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 51.3% 195.07 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT1 33% 80 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT1 35.7% 140 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT1 44% 113.64 shares