Polymarket Trader

0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbC7A679fEF624-1734660003294

0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbc7a679fef624

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.9K
Realized PnL: $301.71
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.38K
Potential profit: $12.38K
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.88K
Potential profit: $10.88K
User PnL: -$399.99

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $214.13
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $6.81K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $240.38
Potential payout: $6.41K
Potential profit: $6.17K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$259.61

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.36K
User PnL: -$999.12

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $293.08
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $652.93

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.05

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.48

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$392.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.7% 1,688.65 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.6% 1,020.41 shares
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 7.7% 3,907.72 shares
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 3% 3,317.09 shares
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 2.7% 3,703.7 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.9% 502.51 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.5% 2,666.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 1,754.39 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 10,876.77 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 4% 12,380.29 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 7.8% 6,410.26 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.4% 2,500 shares